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Blackjack Strategy Main Page |
Blackjack OddsBlackjack Probability and Blackjack Odds |
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Blackjack Basics Blackjack Strategy Other Blackjack Subjects More Blackjack Information Online Blackjack |
To fully understand the game of blackjack, you must understand and
master blackjack odds. It's crucial to know how the casino gains its
edge and how it helps them win. It's also important to understand
blackjack odds such as the odds of hitting a 10 or the odds of being
dealt a blackjack. You can read over these blackjack odds charts to
help understand the logistics behind blackjack.Casino and Dealer Advantage in BlackjackIn most casino games of blackjack, the house advantage (the dealer advantage) is ~ 8%. The house gets this advantage by the dealer being the last player to act. By acting last, all other players have already made their decisions and could quite possibly bust before the dealer has his turn. By using correct blackjack basic strategy, you can turn the casino edge in blackjack from 7%-8% down to 0.5%. If you correctly use advanced card counting techniques, you can often change blackjack odds and give yourself the advantage over the casino. Manipulating the house odds to your favor is the reason most casinos don't allow card counters to play blackjack. Probability of Busting on a HitIt's very important to know the probability of your hand busting when you are holding any total in the game of blackjack. The following odds chart shows the blackjack odds of busting, depending on your current hand value:
Two-Card Count Frequencies
Dealer Final Hand ProbabilitiesThis blackjack odds chart shows the dealer final hand probability. These are the percentages that the dealer will end up with a hand totaling each corresponding value (up to 16). Read over this chart to understand the odds that the dealer has to make his final hand.
Player Advantage vs. Dealer Up CardThe first two columns in this odds chart explain the dealer's chance of busting, depending on the up card that he is showing. You should note that the dealer has the highest chance of busting when he is showing a 5. The third column in this chart shows the player advantage of using basic strategy, compared to each up card the dealer is showing. You can see that the player has the highest advantage of 23.9%, when the dealer is showing a 5. When the dealer is showing any card that is 9 value or higher, the player is in the negative advantage range.
Effects of Removing Cards from a DeckWhen looking at the odds of removing certain cards from a 52-card deck, some cards have a much greater effect on blackjack odds. To create the strongest card counting system ever invented, you would have to incorporate all of these slight and subtle differences into the numbers to be a completely accurate system. Removing every 5 from a deck cards would make the largest impact of improving your blackjack odds, as a player. On the other hand, removing every Ace from a deck of cards would make the largest impact on improving the odds for the casino.
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